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Which parts of central Somerset have the highest growth in property prices?

For the buy-to-let investor the yield or the amount of rent received as a percentage of the capital invested in the property is the all-important statistic to focus on. However, we cannot ignore capital growth which is the ‘icing on the cake’ especially as high yields are sometimes hard to achieve.

I was scanning through the latest price paid data published by the Land Registry when a client popped into the office and asked the question which parts of central Somerset have seen the greatest capital growth in recent years?

Looking back over the last 10 years, the area that stands out overall is Frome where the price paid for property is now 25.88% higher than it was 10 years ago. It is not surprising when you consider Frome was not so long ago voted one of the best towns in the UK to live, according to the Sunday Times.

There has always been an undercurrent of resilience and progression in Frome – vintage shops before they became the trend, a green movement, a vibrant arts scene. But it is increasingly surpassing itself. Not only does Frome have the market, which is to the west country what Brick Lane is to London, it has a booming cafe and food culture, pubs have been reopening, independent shops arrive and stay and what were once crumbling old beautiful buildings are now creative arts hubs. Featured recently on Countryfile, Frome really could become the market town of the future.

Of particular note in Frome is the capital growth of flats that have risen nearly 40% in 10 years while terraced properties have also fared well rising 35% over the same period.

Heading West to Street property prices have done well here too where buyers today pay over 20% more for property than they did 10 years ago. Of particular note are detached properties that are now selling on average for 28.4% more than they did 10 years ago while terraced properties now sell for 26.12% more over the same period. Street has seen many changes in the last 10 years and as well as being the home of C&J Clark International and Millfield School is a vibrant and fast-growing village.

The Best of the Rest

Elsewhere, terraced properties in Wells are now 24.14% more expensive than they were 10 years ago while detached properties in Glastonbury have risen over 23% in the same period.

Whilst my analysis is limited to averages and past performance is no guide to future performance it does give a general indication of what areas and property types may be on the up in terms of capital growth.

A Look at Postcodes

A more detailed and meaningful analysis of the Land Registry data is limited by the volume of transactions recorded but a look at postal sectors provides further insight to those areas with the highest capital growth:

  • BA2 7 – Farleigh Hungerford, Woolverton and Norton St Philip areas of Bath – rise of 95.77% in 10 years
  • BA11 5 – Ellworthy Court, New Road, Southfields in Frome – risen 56.78% in 10 years
  • BA6 8 – Baltonsborough, Butleigh and in Glastonbury the areas South of the A361 and East of Wells Road have seen a rise in average price of 36.95% in 10 years

Property experts will tell you that the growth prospects of a property can vary by property type and even what end of a street the property is on so local expertise is vital when choosing an investment property.

About Tom Morgan

Founder of Jungle Property the multi award-winning letting agent based in Glastonbury, Somerset. I am passionate about property and Glastonbury and about providing the very best advice to anyone who wants the best return on a buy-to-let property investment. For an open and brutally honest opinion on anything in the Glastonbury property market please contact me via tom.morgan@jungleproperty.co.uk

What will Glastonbury property prices be by 2021?

A solicitor friend of mine was asking me about my thoughts on the Glastonbury property market over the next 5 years.

Property prices are both a national obsession and a key driver of the consumer economy.

So what will happen in the next 5 years in the Glastonbury property market?

Before I look at the Glastonbury property market over the next 5 years I have looked at what has happened over the last 5 years.

One of the key drivers of the property market and property values is employment (or lack of it) as that drives wage growth and confidence – first-time buyers buying their first property, existing home owners moving up the property ladder or buy-to-let investors buying more property.

Back in 2010 when the coalition government came to power the total number of people in the Mendip area who were unemployed was 3200 or 6.1% of the working age population. The most recent statistics show the number of people unemployed in the Mendip area has dropped to just 2200 or 3.9% of the working age population.

As the Mid-Somerset jobs market improves, salaries are rising too. Gross weekly pay in the Mendip area rose 3% in 2015. This doesn’t sound like a huge amount, but given the fact that inflation has been hovering just above zero it is nonetheless significant.

Despite the turbulence of the intervening years, property values in Glastonbury are 6.44% higher today than they were 5 years ago.

In the aftermath of the credit crunch many home owners over the last 7 or 8 years held off on their next move. With a more positive economic outlook many have decided to hold back no longer, seize the opportunity and make their move. The effect of this is a more active market.

With a more stable economy in Mid-Somerset, this will, I believe drive a slow but distinct five year-year wave of house sales and house price growth in Glastonbury and the wider Mid-Somerset area.

I forecast Glastonbury property values will increase at least 12 percent by 2021. This may look optimistic for many but when we consider Glastonbury property values have risen over 6% in the last 5 years my forecast seems reasonable. My forecast is, I believe, a fair and reasonable balance of the positive and negative influences on the local market.

However for the positive picture I paint it would be remiss of me not to mention the clouds on the horizon that will have a negative impact on many. The number of properties being built in Glastonbury and the wider Mendip district is not keeping pace with demand which restricts choice but it does keep prices up.

Interest rates are predicted to rise any time this year between Easter and Christmas depending on which prediction you believe.

Finally there are the new buy-to-let taxation rules that will be introduced between 2017 and 2021. I believe more than ever that carefully choosing where to invest will outweigh the clouds on the horizon.

With interest rates so low, investors may as well put their money under the bed. Property prices, in contrast, have risen steadily over recent years despite property crashes and the returns from property have outstripped bank accounts and inflation. Investment in property should be for the long term and despite all the ups and downs will outperform other investments in the long run. For those people in Glastonbury who have some money to invest you would be silly not to consider property as a long-term investment – just make sure you buy the right property in the right location at the right price.

About Tom Morgan

Founder of Jungle Property the multi award-winning letting agent based in Glastonbury, Somerset. I am passionate about property and Glastonbury and about providing the very best advice to anyone who wants the best return on a buy-to-let property investment. For an open and brutally honest opinion on anything in the Glastonbury property market please contact me via tom.morgan@jungleproperty.co.uk

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